Let $y_t = 0.8y_{t-1} + \epsilon_t$ where $\mathbb{E}[\epsilon_t] = 0$ and $\mathrm{Var}[\epsilon_t] = 1$. The time series is a strictly stationary sequence and each element is normally distributed. Hence $\mathbb{E}[y_t]$ and $\mathrm{Var}[y_t]$ are both constants. In particular, $\mathbb{E}[y_t]$ = $\mathbb{E}[y_{t-1}]$ and $\mathrm{Var}[y_t]$ = $\mathrm{Var}[y_{t-1}]$. Let $\rho(T)$ be the correlation between $y_t$ and y_{t-1}. Find $\rho(1)$ and $\rho(2)$.
Here is what I did for ?(1):
?(1) = Corr(yt-1, yt) = Cov(yt, yt-1) / (?yt * ?yt-1)
Cov(yt , yt-1) = Cov(yt-1, 0.8yt- 1+?t) = 0.8Cov(yt-1, yt-1) + Cov(yt-1, ?t)
= 0.8Var(yt-1)+ E((yt-1 - (0.8yt-1))(?t - E(?t))) = 0.8Var(yt-1) + E((0.2yt-1)(?t))
= 0.8Var(yt-1) + 0.2E(yt-1)E(?t) = 0.8Var(yt-1) =>?((0.8Var(yt-1)))2 / Var(yt-1)2)= ?0.8 = 0.8944
Did I do this right and if so, wouldn't ?(2) be the same thing? I was also confused as to how $\mathbb{E}[y_t]$ could be equal to $\mathbb{E}[y_{t-1}]$ when $\mathbb{E}[y_t]$ = 0.8$\mathbb{E}[y_{t-1}]$