Thanks Robert! I really enjoyed reading your post. I have a question and I appreciate if you let me know your thoughts. If I use only some of the data of, e.g., Hubei China, the logistics model seems to give very different results. For example, let's say that we are on the 20th day of outbreak. If we use the available data of the first 20 days, the model fails to reproduce the data of the following 16 days.
