User Portlet
| Discussions |
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| Thank you Abrita!! |
| Update June 14. IHME (https://covid19.healthdata.org/sweden) forecasts 8534 fatalities by August 4th. In contrast, our model forecasts 6012. It will be a good model check. I will post updated picture just before I go on a break in July along with... |
| Excellent, you have in a sense rediscovered what I proposed in my post a couple or more months ago (https://community.wolfram.com/groups/-/m/t/1904319), that using delays works best - although it makes the fitting more time consuming - and you have... |
| Look at the equations AND the initial conditions (for S). What you see (relative to the y axis) is what you get ... (I should include a plot with S) ... hope this helps; if not, we can come back to it at some point. |
| In the post "An SEIR like model that fits the coronavirus infection data" https://community.wolfram.com/groups/-/m/t/1888335 listed above under epidemic modeling, I discuss how to fit an SEIR-like model to the coronavirus data. I argue that... |