Good question - this is from a statistical hypothesis test (here, a one-tailed z-test, with p-value).
Assume the frequencies, F
, are similar to the distribution NormalDistribution[50.0012, 0.0584802]
. Then we have two hypotheses:
H0: This was caused by a statistical misfortune (the null hypothesis)
H1: This was caused by a process problem (the alternative hypothesis)
We will test this at the 99.99% significance level (so for us to be certain H1 was the case, the probability this would occur if the process was in statistical control must be below ? = 0.0001
). The probability this was an accident, assuming the process was in control, was p = Prob[F < 49.5] = 5.1191*10^-18 < 0.0001 = ?
. So we have sufficient evidence, at the 99.99% significance level, to reject H_0. Therefore, we can be almost (but never completely; such is the way of statistics) certain that this could not be a statistical misfortune. So the process was not in control at the time of the blackouts.