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Agent-Based Network Models for COVID-19

Posted 6 years ago

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Posted 2 years ago
POSTED BY: Tugrul Temel
Posted 6 years ago
POSTED BY: Mike Lawler
POSTED BY: Barry Wardell

Ah, that's a good catch. I'll try to add that change to the notebook and edit the post.

I made that change and recomputed everything. None of the results look significantly affected, but thanks for finding that bug. The main post has been updated to show results from the new version.

Great, thank you for checking.

Do you understand why the two implementations might still differ? They are in much closer agreement now, but there still seems to be a small, but statistically significant difference (as measured by, e.g. the time and height of the peak infection).

POSTED BY: Barry Wardell
POSTED BY: Barry Wardell
POSTED BY: Matt Brook
Posted 6 years ago

Nice post, Christopher, thanks. It shows the power of Mathematica to generate and manipulate efficiently highly structured systems. We're working on similar structured-contact covid model for local settings (e.g. hospitals, city districts et al). Would be glad to share it, when ready

POSTED BY: David Gurarie

Thank you Shenghui! I ran successfully the notebook covid.nb in 2292 seconds. Thank you all!

Dear Christopher, Thank you for your prompt reply! I believe I did not run out of memory. I am trying again, using ParallelTable.

Aristeidis, I can give you a rough benchmark: I use a desktop with Xeon E2176M 6 core + 16GB RAM to run the whole notebook. It consumes 10 GB (maximum resource I have besides OS resources) and takes 3655 seconds to complete (using ParallelTable). Attached is a notebook with only input code from Christopher's article and my timing result.

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POSTED BY: Shenghui Yang
Posted 6 years ago

Excellent post @Christopher Wolfram , I was working along the same lines. I'll switch the focus to cover other interesting aspects of using this type of models.

POSTED BY: Diego Zviovich

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Your exceptional post has been selected for our editorial column Staff Picks http://wolfr.am/StaffPicks and Your Profile is now distinguished by a Featured Contributor Badge and is displayed on the Featured Contributor Board. Thank you!

POSTED BY: EDITORIAL BOARD

Outstanding post, Christopher!

It's intriguing that the shape of the infected curve in the Simple Example section is fairly symmetrical and does not have the long exponential tail.

Generating the phase plane analysis from the simulations is amazing. I've seen (and done) these analyses using the traditional calculus-based approach, but it's wonderful that you can do the same with this model and show that many of the same principles apply.

POSTED BY: Robert Nachbar
Posted 6 years ago
POSTED BY: Michael D.
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