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Robert Nachbar
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for the 2-level bar chart in update 1, using a legend for the bar colors for True and False would allow you to use the age group labels along the horizontal axis. Here is a simple hack of your BarChart that accomplishes this: BarChart[First /@...
The behavior on weekends is very interesting! It looks like people are doing their grocery and retail shopping on weekdays, and "sneak" out on weekends to the office.
To be fair, one should look at as many of the reporting regions as possible. I've heard some people say they are suspicious of reports from other countries than China, so I would like to see if their hunches hold up. I also wouldn't be surprised...
Well put, Jan. When we come out of this if a few months (hopefully only a few), a large portion of the population will still be susceptible. I worry that new small outbreaks could spread rapidly, giving a so-called rebound. This behavior is not...
Outstanding post, Christopher! It's intriguing that the shape of the infected curve in the Simple Example section is fairly symmetrical and does not have the long exponential tail. Generating the phase plane analysis from the simulations is...
Great post. It should be very instructive!
"Getting the data into a model" is essentially the process of fitting the adjustable parameters of a model so that the model predicts the data as closely as possible. One needs to fit the data for each country separately. For the influenza models I...
Nice live-stream today!
Your points about the susceptible population size are well taken. Unlike modeling chemical reactions in a beaker (the math is the same), one cannot assume instantaneous and uniform mixing in epidemiological models. The population size does have an...
I have not used the NGM method myself, but will need to soon for my own research. I came across this reference recently: Diekmann O, Heesterbeek JA, Roberts MG. The construction of next-generation matrices for compartmental epidemic models. J R...